THE OAKMARK EQUITY AND INCOME FUNDReport from Clyde S. McGregor and Edward A. Studzinski, Portfolio Managers |
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| THE VALUE OF A $10,000 INVESTMENT IN THE OAKMARK EQUITY AND INCOME FUND FROM ITS INCEPTION (11/1/95) TO PRESENT (6/30/05) AS COMPARED TO THE LIPPER BALANCED FUND INDEX10 | ||||
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| Average Annual Total Returns | ||||
| (as of 6/30/05) | ||||
| Total
Return Last 3 Months* |
1-year |
5-year |
Since Inception (11/1/95) |
|
| Oakmark Equity & Income Fund (Class I) | 2.83% | 6.24% | 13.03% | 13.78% |
| Lipper Balanced Fund Index | 1.79% | 7.12% | 2.70% | 7.85% |
| S&P 5005 | 1.37% | 6.32% | -2.37% | 9.46% |
| Lehman Govt./Corp. Bond11 | 3.44% | 7.26% | 7.70% | 6.77% |
| The graph and table do not reflect the deduction of taxes that a shareholder would pay on fund distributions or the redemption of fund shares. | ||||
| The performance data quoted represents past performance. The above performance information for the Fund does not reflect the imposition of a 2% redemption fee on shares held for 90 days or less to deter market timers. If reflected, the fee would reduce the performance quoted. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Average annual total return measures annualized change, while total return measures aggregate change. To obtain current month end performance data, call 1-800-OAKMARK or visit www.oakmark.com. | ||||
| * Not annualized | ||||
"Stand upright, speak thy thoughts, declare the truth thou hast, that all may share; be bold, proclaim it everywhere: They only live who dare." Voltaire
Our Results
The Oakmark Equity and Income Fund increased 3% for the quarter ended June 30, bringing the calendar year gain to 2%. For the calendar year 2005, the Fund has outperformed the Lipper Balanced Fund Index, which has returned 1% for the year. As this represents another period of absolute positive returns, we are moderately pleased with this result. As we have said many times, it is absolute positive returns that preserve and grow your capital. Looking back over the past three-year and five-year periods, we have grown and compounded the capital of our long-term investors (ourselves included) at a 10% and 13% rate annualized respectively. We continue to dedicate ourselves to keeping those returns consistent and remain vigilant against any sloth or complacency. We are particularly mindful of something Mark Twain once said, "All you need in this life is ignorance and confidence, and then success is rare." As you may recall, we started 2005 again feeling cautiously pessimistic, without any great convictions, and the year has continued to play out that way, albeit with markets around the world showing a tremendous amount of volatility.
Oil, Oil, Everywhere!
Two factors primarily contribute to that volatility: the strength of the U.S. dollar and the continued increase in energy prices. We have been somewhat perplexed by the former, but we are willing to chalk it up to concern about the Euro and the European Union, given the rejection by the voters of France and the Netherlands of the draft EU Constitution. With regard to energy prices, we find the increases understandable given the tightening of energy's supply and demand dynamics. As we have previously discussed, increased demand makes sense to the extent one accepts that developing market countries, such as China and India, continue to demand substantially more oil than generally forecast. Indeed, both of those countries have moved aggressively to secure increased supplies of petroleum to support their economies' expanding needs. (In the case of China a snowball effect may develop because the Chinese are also seeking to lessen their dependence on coal, with its not-so-hidden environmental costs, and shift consumption to cleaner forms of energy such as oil, natural gas, or liquified natural gas.) The most recent evidence of this aggressiveness is to be found in the bid by a Chinese oil company, CNOOC Ltd., for Union Oil of California.
In terms of energy supply, we agree with those who say that there is plenty of oil left out there; Saudi Arabia is supposed to be capable of doubling its current production of about 10 million barrels per day. The issue that is now coming to the forefront is the ability to get oil out of the ground (production rates), due to a number of artificial constraints that impede companies' ability to get petroleum products refined and to the markets.
A half-century ago, M. King Hubbert, a Shell Oil geologist, argued that production rates for oil and natural gas basically follow a bell curve: production rates from new fields rise steadily until the peak (top of the curve) is hit, at which pointwith roughly half of the oil or gas in place producedproduction rates decline. Therefore, Hubbert predicted that production rates in the U.S. would peak around 1970 and then begin to slide downwards. While new technologies have slowed the rate of decline, Hub-bert's predictions were fairly accurate. Applying similar logic, many people are now raising the possibility that the world's production has already peaked, claiming that existing fields face an inexorable decline, which might be slowed but cannot be stopped. The offset of this production decline was supposed to come from Saudi Arabia, with both shut-in discovered production and large tracts of unexplored areas that could hold future gigantic fields. Two somewhat recent books question the promise in Saudi Arabia. The End of Oil12 by Paul Roberts argues that in their attempts to enhance production by injecting water in the Ghawar fieldSaudi Arabia's largest oil fieldthe Saudis unwittingly contaminated that field. The second book, Twilight in the Desert13 by Matthew Simmons, argues that most Saudi production comes from only seven or eight oil fields, all old and all in decline, and again, their best days have passed. He further argues that the Saudis are already using the best recovery technology that money can buy, so not much more can be squeezed out of their fields.
We think that these are interesting arguments, especially given the lack of transparency that surrounds so much of the energy world. That said, our energy investments are focused on companies that have access to natural gas in North America. We believe that natural gas in North America has compelling and more easily supportable supply-demand dynamics than oil. North America is experiencing a dearth of new natural gas discoveries, a lack of new pipelines, and a "not in my backyard" approach to liquified natural gas terminals. The natural gas supply chain in the United States has basically no margin of safety left in it.
Oakmark's investment philosophy has always been to buy companies that are selling at a discount to the underlying values of their assets. In the case of the energy sector, our asset value analysis is centered on the value of oil and gas reserves. In addition to a discounted price, we also require that companies are run by managements that think about their businesses the way we do. That is, they are responsible for a pool of assets. They should recognizeand actwhen the right price is reached for purchasing additional assets and when the right price is reached for disposing of their assets. At all times, they should act according to what is best for their shareholders. Our investment process explicitly seeks to avoid companiesin any sectorthat don't meet these criteria. Within the energy sector, in particular, this helps prevent us from investing in those companies that are run by managements with an irrational love of the energy business for its own sake. Our disciplined process has resulted in a short list of what we believe are very attractive energy stocks. If our assumptions about supply and demand dynamics prove correct as well, we could also capture the upside in the commodity's price for free.
Change at the Margin
In keeping with our belief that sometimes the best thing we can do is nothing, there were not a lot of transactions in the portfolio from a dollar-volume perspective during the quarter. Abbott Laboratories, Darden Restaurants, and Office Depot were eliminated from the portfolio because they reached valuation targets. New positions were initiated in Morgan Stanley, Pulte Homes, Sanderson Farms, and Tree House Foods. Our low turnover indicates that many of our portfolio holdings remain comfortably away from their valuation targets. However, those investments that are creeping close to their valuation targets have allowed us to ease incrementally out of them while we ease incrementally into new positions. We continue to see no abundance of compelling ideas, although a few interesting opportunities arose (but at prices with lesser margins of safety than would interest us). That said, we are comfortable with our holdings, and we continue to believe that we will have the opportunity to deploy capital into one or two truly outstanding investment ideas over a twelve-to-eighteen month period.
Summertime, when the Reading Is?
We would like to commend to you a favorite, although not newly published, book titled Fooled by Randomness - The Hidden Role of Chance in the Markets and Life14 by Nassim Taleb. Although not a page-turner, the book is useful for those trying to understand the statistics of the market, especially figures relating to performance. Taleb also puts into context some of the behaviors that can result in subpar investment performance. For example, if you can place a $1 bet that has 999 chances in a 1000 to make $1, and 1 chance in a 1000 to lose $10,000, you arrive at an expected return of a loss of $9, arrived at by multiplying the probabilities by the related outcomes and then summing. Many young analysts and portfolio managers often get fixated on the fact they would probably make money because the frequency of winning is so great. Wrong. The probability of loss is not what you should be concerned with. The magnitude of the negative outcome, which swamps everything else, makes this a bad situation to bet on. Put another way, investment opportunities do not always involve a normal distribution along a curve. Taleb's point is one with which we wholeheartedly agree and which, interestingly, a frequenter of the racetrack understands intuitively. Yet many people with fancy degrees and titles, who are responsible for other people's money, often do not.
Curmudgeons
We are often thought of as the curmudgeons of this investment firm, but it does not bother us that we may be an endangered species. Another famous curmudgeon, George Santayana, once said that "Advertising is the modern substitute for argument; its function is to make the worse appear the better." Our purpose, we assure you, is not to advertise but to inform youour investors, partners, and readersas we should like to be informed ourselves. Our goal continues to be to make an absolute positive return for you (and ourselves) as shareholders. That goal has not changed and will not change. We continue to not do anything different than what we have done in the pastsearching for business values in the market place priced at a discount to intrinsic value, with a margin of safety that we like. We remain grateful to you, our shareholders and partners, for your patience and confidence in entrusting us with your capital to manage.
| Clyde S.
McGregor, CFA Portfolio Manager mcgregor@oakmark.com |
Edward A. Studzinski, CFA Portfolio Manager estudzinski@oakmark.com |
| THE OAKMARK EQUITY AND INCOME FUND |
Schedule of InvestmentsJune 30, 2005 (Unaudited)
| Name | Shares Held | Market Value |
| Equity and Equivalents59.6% | ||
| Common Stocks59.6% | ||
| Apparel Retail1.9% | ||
| The TJX Companies, Inc. | 7,240,000 | $176,294,000 |
| Broadcasting & Cable TV5.0% | ||
| EchoStar Communications Corporation, Class A | 8,218,420 | $247,785,363 |
| The DIRECTV Group, Inc. (a) | 8,026,722 | 124,414,191 |
| The E.W. Scripps Company, Class A | 1,688,500 | 82,398,800 |
| 454,598,354 | ||
| Homebuilding0.1% | ||
| Pulte Homes, Inc. | 100,000 | $8,425,000 |
| Movies & Entertainment2.3% | ||
| Viacom Inc., Class B | 6,500,000 | $208,130,000 |
| Publishing0.1% | ||
| Tribune Company | 200,000 | $7,036,000 |
| Restaurants0.9% | ||
| McDonald's Corporation | 3,000,000 | $83,250,000 |
| Distillers & Vintners2.7% | ||
| Diageo plc (b) | 4,100,000 | $243,130,000 |
| Hypermarkets & Super Centers1.6% | ||
| Costco Wholesale Corporation | 3,200,000 | $143,424,000 |
| Packaged Foods & Meats4.0% | ||
| Nestle SA (b) | 3,900,000 | $249,522,000 |
| Dean Foods Company (a) | 2,500,000 | 88,100,000 |
| TreeHouse Foods, Inc. (a) | 475,000 | 13,542,250 |
| Sanderson Farms, Inc. | 250,000 | 11,360,000 |
| 362,524,250 | ||
| Tobacco1.5% | ||
| UST Inc. | 2,950,000 | $134,697,000 |
| Integrated Oil & Gas1.3% | ||
| ConocoPhillips | 2,000,000 | $114,980,000 |
| Oil & Gas Exploration & Production10.3% | ||
| Burlington Resources Inc. | 7,150,000 | $394,966,000 |
| XTO Energy, Inc. | 10,265,888 | 348,937,533 |
| St. Mary Land & Exploration Company | 2,900,000 | 84,042,000 |
| EnCana Corp. (c) | 2,000,000 | $79,180,000 |
| Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation | 792,500 | 27,499,749 |
| 934,625,282 | ||
| Investment Banking & Brokerage0.9% | ||
| Morgan Stanley | 1,500,000 | $78,705,000 |
| Other Diversified Financial Services1.7% | ||
| Citigroup Inc. | 3,400,000 | $157,182,000 |
| Property & Casualty Insurance4.7% | ||
| SAFECO Corporation | 4,000,000 | $217,360,000 |
| MBIA Inc. | 1,850,000 | 109,723,500 |
| The Progressive Corporation | 1,050,000 | 103,750,500 |
| 430,834,000 | ||
| Real Estate Investment Trusts1.0% | ||
| Plum Creek Timber Company, Inc. | 2,657,044 | $96,450,697 |
| Biotechnology2.1% | ||
| MedImmune, Inc. (a) | 6,000,000 | $160,320,000 |
| Techne Corporation (a) | 750,000 | 34,432,500 |
| 194,752,500 | ||
| Health Care Equipment2.5% | ||
| Hospira, Inc. (a) | 3,750,000 | $146,250,000 |
| Varian Inc. (a) | 1,649,400 | 62,330,826 |
| CONMED Corporation (a) | 570,100 | 17,541,977 |
| 226,122,803 | ||
| Health Care Services2.6% | ||
| Caremark Rx, Inc. (a) | 5,250,000 | $233,730,000 |
| Aerospace & Defense7.0% | ||
| General Dynamics Corporation | 2,060,300 | $225,685,262 |
| Raytheon Company | 3,599,700 | 140,820,264 |
| Rockwell Collins, Inc. | 2,249,000 | 107,232,320 |
| Alliant Techsystems, Inc. (a) | 1,325,000 | 93,545,000 |
| Honeywell International, Inc. | 1,889,500 | 69,212,385 |
| 636,495,231 | ||
| Commercial Printing1.9% | ||
| R.R. Donnelley & Sons Company | 4,909,500 | $169,426,845 |
| Diversified Commercial & Professional Services0.5% | ||
| ChoicePoint Inc. (a) | 1,100,000 | $44,055,000 |
| Name | Shares Held/ Par Value |
Market Value |
| Human Resource & Employment Services0.3% | ||
| Watson Wyatt & Company Holdings | 1,015,600 | $26,029,828 |
| Application Software0.8% | ||
| The Reynolds and Reynolds Company, Class A | 1,482,100 | $40,061,163 |
| Mentor Graphics Corporation (a) | 3,640,000 | 37,310,000 |
| 77,371,163 | ||
| Computer Storage & Peripherals0.5% | ||
| Imation Corp. | 1,215,000 | $47,129,850 |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services1.0% | ||
| Ceridian Corporation (a) | 4,800,000 | $93,504,000 |
| Internet Software & Services0.2% | ||
| Jupiter Telecommunications Co., Ltd. (a)(c) | 21,300 | $18,004,601 |
| Paper Products0.2% | ||
| Schweitzer-Mauduit International, Inc. | 700,000 | $21,791,001 |
| Total Common Stocks (Cost: $4,169,396,405) | 5,422,698,405 | |
| Total Equity And Equivalents (Cost: $4,169,396,405) | 5,422,698,405 | |
| Fixed Income36.0% | ||
| Corporate Bonds0.7% | ||
| Broadcasting & Cable TV0.2% | ||
Cablevision Systems
Corporation, 8.00% due 4/15/2012 |
20,000,000 | $19,600,000 |
| Publishing0.1% | ||
| PRIMEDIA Inc., 8.00% due 5/15/2013 | 10,000,000 | $10,025,000 |
| Health Care Distributors0.2% | ||
| Omnicare, Inc., 6.125% due 6/1/2013 | 15,000,000 | $14,775,000 |
| Paper Packaging0.2% | ||
| Sealed Air Corporation, 144A, 5.625% due 7/15/2013 (d) | 20,000,000 | $20,551,600 |
| Multi-Utilities & Unregulated Power0.0% | ||
| MidlandFunding Corporation, 11.75% due 7/23/2005 | 172,075 | $172,589 |
| Total Corporate Bonds (Cost: $65,508,612) | 65,124,189 | |
| Name | Par Value | Market Value |
| Government and Agency Securities35.3% | ||
| Canadian Government Bonds3.9% | ||
| Canada Government, 3.25% due 12/1/2006 | CAD 250,000,000 |
$205,385,055 |
| Canada Government, 3.00% due 12/1/2005 | CAD 125,000,000 |
102,200,751 |
| Canada Government, 3.00% due 6/1/2007 | CAD 50,000,000 |
40,892,952 |
| Province of Alberta, 7.25% due 10/28/2005 | CAD 10,000,000 |
8,273,771 |
| 356,752,529 | ||
| Danish Government Bonds0.2% | ||
| Kingdom of Denmark, 3.00% due 11/15/2006 | DKK 100,000,000 |
$16,442,932 |
| Norwegian Government Bonds0.2% | ||
| Norway Government, 6.75% due 1/15/2007 | NOK 100,000,000 |
$16,293,888 |
| Swedish Government Bonds0.1% | ||
| Kingdom of Sweden, 3.50% due 4/20/2006 | SEK 100,000,000 |
$12,995,392 |
| U.S. Government Notes27.1% | ||
| United States Treasury Notes, 4.00% due 6/15/2009 | 500,000,000 |
$505,390,500 |
| United States Treasury Notes, 3.375% due 2/28/2007 | 500,000,000 |
497,812,500 |
| United States Treasury Notes, 3.625% due 1/15/2010 | 500,000,000 |
497,636,500 |
| United States Treasury Notes, 3.375% due 1/15/2007, Inflation Indexed | 261,561,870 |
269,868,552 |
| United States Treasury Notes, 3.375% due 11/15/2008 | 250,000,000 |
247,470,750 |
| United States Treasury Notes, 3.25% due 1/15/2009 | 250,000,000 |
246,435,500 |
| United States Treasury Notes, 4.00% due 2/15/2015 | 200,000,000 |
200,711,000 |
| 2,465,325,302 | ||
| U.S. Government Agencies3.8% | ||
| Federal Home Loan Bank, 5.00% due 12/20/2011 | 34,555,000 | $34,560,356 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 2.75% due 9/8/2009 |
32,490,000 | 32,446,203 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.10% due 9/6/2007 | 25,000,000 | 24,986,550 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.02% due 9/12/2007 | 25,000,000 | 24,981,225 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.625% due 12/28/2009 | 24,435,000 | 24,372,202 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 3.625% due 3/24/2008 |
20,000,000 | 20,023,060 |
| Federal Home Loan Bank, 2.50% due 4/20/2009 | 20,000,000 | 19,847,640 |
| Fannie Mae, 2.60% due 4/28/2009 | 18,800,000 | 18,670,618 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.50% due 2/8/2010 | 15,315,000 | 15,312,733 |
| Fannie Mae, 4.25% due 2/19/2010 | 12,888,000 | 12,847,764 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.125% due 11/30/2009 | 12,697,000 | 12,665,702 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 3.00% due 8/17/2009 |
10,000,000 | 9,994,050 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 2.375% due 9/27/2007 |
10,000,000 | $9,974,780 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.00% due 10/6/2009 | 10,000,000 | 9,917,580 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 3.00% due 11/17/2006 |
10,000,000 | 9,893,950 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.375% due 3/3/2008 | 9,300,000 | 9,291,649 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.50% due 10/14/2010 | 7,550,000 | 7,523,952 |
| Federal Home Loan Bank, 3.00% due 8/17/2007 | 7,500,000 | 7,496,138 |
| Federal Home Loan Bank, 3.00% due 12/30/2009 | 5,000,000 | 5,051,955 |
| Fannie Mae, 4.00% due 4/13/2009 | 5,000,000 | 5,019,975 |
| Federal Home Loan Bank, 4.52% due 8/26/2009 | 4,825,000 | 4,828,899 |
| Fannie Mae, 5.125% due 5/4/2012 | 4,013,000 | 4,030,717 |
| Federal Home Loan Bank, 2.25% due 2/22/2007 | 4,000,000 | 3,992,420 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 2.00% due 7/11/2008 |
3,500,000 | 3,498,597 |
| Federal Home Loan Bank, 3.00% due 2/24/2010 | 3,000,000 | 2,990,202 |
| Fannie Mae, 3.75% due 6/23/2009 | 2,820,000 | 2,818,869 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 3.125% due 9/15/2010 |
2,500,000 | 2,492,375 |
| Federal Home Loan Bank, 2.40% due 3/9/2009 | 2,000,000 | 1,985,446 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 3.00% due 9/29/2009 |
1,520,000 | 1,518,171 |
Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation, 3.00% due 1/13/2009 |
1,000,000 | 994,574 |
| 344,028,352 | ||
| Total Government and Agency Securities (Cost: $3,198,076,051) | 3,211,838,395 | |
| Total Fixed Income (Cost: $3,263,584,663) | 3,276,962,584 | |
| Short Term Investments3.4% | ||
| U.S.Government Bills1.7% | ||
| United States Treasury Bills, 2.635% -2.78% due 7/7/2005 - 7/21/2005 | $150,000,000 | $149,855,633 |
| Total U.S.Government Bills (Cost: $149,855,458) | 149,855,633 | |
| Repurchase Agreements1.7% | ||
| IBT Repurchase Agreement, 2.80% dated 6/30/2005 due 7/1/2005, repurchase price $155,512,094 collateralized by U.S. Government Agency Securities with an aggregate market value plus accrued interest of $163,275,000 | $155,500,000 | $155,500,000 |
| IBT Repurchase Agreement, 2.01% dated 6/30/2005 due 7/1/2005, repurchase price $2,218,643 collateralized by a U.S. Government Agency Security with a market value plus accrued interest of $2,329,446 | $2,218,520 | $2,218,520 |
| Total Repurchase Agreements (Cost: $157,718,520) | 157,718,520 | |
| Total Short Term Investments (Cost: $307,573,978) | 307,574,153 | |
| Total Investments (Cost $7,740,555,046)99.0% | $9,007,235,142 | |
| Other Assets In Excess Of Other Liabilities1.0% | 87,643,751 | |
| Total Net Assets100% | $9,094,878,893 | |
| (a) | Non-income producing security. |
| (b) | Represents an American
Depository Receipt. |
| (c) | Represents a foreign domiciled corporation. |
| (d) | Security exempt from registration under Rule144A of the Securities Act of 1933. These securities may be resold in transactions exempt from registration, normally to qualified institutional buyers. |
| Key to abbreviations: CAD: Canadian Dollar DKK: Danish Krone NOK: Norwegian Krone SEK: Swedish Krona |